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[NL2-NL10] sh nl10 kk

    • gao20005
      Joined: 29.10.2008 Posts: 3,134
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2162014
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $4.70 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 20, 3B: 5, AF: 39.0, Hands: 374
      SB: $15.02 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 6.0, Hands: 90
      BB: $10.77 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 21
      UTG: $9.14 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 27
      MP: $11.66 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 35, 3B: 0, AF: 1.7, Hands: 17
      Hero (CO): $12.58 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.0, Hands: 274501

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with K :club: K :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.95, 3 folds, MP calls $0.65

      Flop: ($2.05) 6 :spade: 9 :heart: Q :heart: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $1.30, MP raises to $5.71, Hero?
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey Gao20005,

      Preflop is fine.

      Reads/history help on the flop, but mainly you should just fold. Villains bluffing frequency will be low here MPvsCO and with this sizing. Mainly he just has a set + the occasional misplayed AQ.
    • gavinonymous
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,146
      I don't want to fold here vs a loose aggressive Villain. often letting me continue my aggression, calling down and try to trap with strong made hands. Can we assume that villain regards position?

      If we are likely ahead, shouldn't we call? Even against Q9 we have outs and we have about 2:1 pot odds vs his range I can't see folding. I put some ranges in equilator and it seems we are far ahead of his pf 3bet flatting range

      Equity Win Tie
      71.90% 71.82% 0.08% KdKc
      28.10% 28.01% 0.08% 99, 66, AQs-A7s, A5s-A2s, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, 87s, Qs9s, AQo, ATo-A9o, KTo+, Q8o+, JTo, 87o

      tried several more ranges and we are ahead unless we only give him sets, 2 pairs and flush draws even then we still have odds to call. I don't know why to assume his range is so strong here on NL10?
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      @Gavinonymous -

      1. Not enough info to tell he is LAG imo, 17 hands.

      2. We don't really get 2:1 pot odds on the turn because villain is leveraging his entire stack. If you assume he shoves all-in on turn then you will see your true pot odds.

      3. We assume he's never bluffing because the majority of unknowns at 10nl are never bluffing this way. Even if they are bluffing they are usually either shoving or raising smaller.