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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL30 AJs - 3bp Stab on flop, +FD EQ on turn

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Pacific, $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      CO: $31.63 (105.4 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $30 (100 bb)
      SB: $57.08 (190.3 bb)
      BB: $46.16 (153.9 bb)
      UTG: $38.35 (127.8 bb)
      MP: $30.68 (102.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J A
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.78, Hero calls $0.78, SB raises to $3.42, BB folds, CO calls $2.64, Hero calls $2.64

      Flop: ($10.56) Q 6 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $6.72, SB calls $6.72, CO folds

      Turn: ($24.00) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $19.86 and is all-in, SB calls $19.86

      River: ($63.72) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $63.72 pot ($3.18 rake)
      Final Board: Q 6 2 9 9
      Hero showed J A and lost (-$30 net)
      SB showed A A and won $60.54 ($30.54 net)

      CO unknown

      What do you think about my postflop play?
      On the flop I stabbed because of the missed cbet and because CO would have stabbed with a Q too... so I thought I would get the pot easily with this bet.
      On the Turn I have a +FD equity so I could checkback easily ooor push. I thought at the moment of this hand that this is a highly +EV move. I thought I have enough FE against his second pairs/weaker Qx hands. He would have overpair rarely (also now I noted that he has a lower skipcb/f in 3bpots... which raises the probability of them), but all in all I thought I would have enought equity + FE against his whole range.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588

      Given that both players checked I don't mind our flop stab at all. Your bet size can be a bit smaller but overall the bet itself is fine.

      How's our image like? What type of history do we have here with him?

      Given the stack sizes and pot size a smaller bet doesn't make much sense. But what can ck/call the flop that would not cbet? I think that villains cbet smaller pairs anyway + fds and since his skipcbet/call is not that large I would be worried about a slowplay here (without other info) and just check back. I doubt that we have the FE we need versus his flop ck/calling range.
    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Thank you very much!:)