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[NL2-NL10] nl2 hero QhQd

    • MeAmor22
      Joined: 07.05.2011 Posts: 4,247
      Pacific, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $1.67 (83.5 bb)
      BTN: $2.15 (107.5 bb)
      SB: $1.98 (99 bb)
      BB: $2.29 (114.5 bb)
      UTG+2: $2.35 (117.5 bb)
      MP1: $2.26 (113 bb)
      Hero (MP2): $2.02 (101 bb)
      MP3: $2.06 (103 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q Q
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, 3 folds, SB calls $0.07, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.18) 7 6 K (2 players)
      SB bets $0.09, Hero calls $0.09

      Turn: ($0.36) 7 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.18, Hero folds

      $0.36 pot ($0.02 rake)
      Final Board: 7 6 K 7
      SB mucked and won $0.34 ($0.17 net)
      Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$0.17 net)

      His stats are:46/0/1.3/13 vpip/pfr/Af/hands
      1)On flop against his DB=1/2p i decided to call and reevaluate on turn
      2)On turn the size of his bet didnt change so I put him on Kx,7x and I decided to fold because i am behind
      His range in my opinion is

      Board: 7:diamond: 6:heart: K:spade:  7:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    46.19%  46.19%   0.00% { QdQh }
      SB     53.81%  53.81%   0.00% { JJ-66, KQs, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, KhTh, Ah9h, Kh9h, Ah8h, Kh8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, KTo+, 98o, 87o, 76o }

  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      This turn is bad for us. I think 7X is a good part of his donking range. HOWEVER, I still think vs a half pot bet we are good often enough to call here.

      I don't think his range is necessarily as wide as you mentioned, but still we beat some straight draws and yes he certainly could have some backdoor flush draw combos (though I think it is super optimistic to assume that he has so many of them). Our equity here is probably 35%+ and we are getting 25% pot odds to call on the Turn so this should be a call.