[NL20-NL50] AQo vs sqeeze

    • GingerKid
      GingerKid
      Black
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,530
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 202.76 BB (VPIP: 25.56, PFR: 22.03, 3Bet Preflop: 9.77, Hands: 2,125)
      UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.76, PFR: 20.32, 3Bet Preflop: 7.80, Hands: 2,024)
      MP: 234.26 BB (VPIP: 31.18, PFR: 5.14, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 383)
      Hero (CO): 102 BB
      BTN: 102.66 BB (VPIP: 24.49, PFR: 21.36, 3Bet Preflop: 7.84, Hands: 1,810)
      SB: 45.94 BB (VPIP: 18.13, PFR: 17.61, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 171)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:club: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, BB raises to 12.5 BB, Hero calls 9.5 BB, fold

      Flop: (28.5 BB, 2 players) 5:club: 5:diamond: 4:heart:
      BB bets 14.24 BB, Hero calls 14.24 BB

      Turn: (56.98 BB, 2 players) 2:spade:
      BB bets 28.48 BB, Hero raises to 75.26 BB and is all-in, fold

      Hero shows Q:club: A:heart: (One Pair, Fives)
      Hero wins 108.26 BB


      He sqeezes 12%, and I expect him to be even wider versus CO and BU.
      My pt4 notes show me that he likes to 3bet broadway, AT+, KJ+.
      Flop cbt 83%, turn 2/7. I saw him couple of times check shoving turns in 3bet pots, so this is additional reason for me to continue on turn.
      I was not sure if it is better to call him down? I just wanted to fold his AK, but I think I should call down since he probably shoves river.
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      My initial question was going to be why shove if you think he is bluffing very often with weaker broadways than your hand. Sure, you make him fold some equity but not that much imo. I think your hand qualifies enough as a bluffcatcher to call against his range instead of shipping. You make him fold AK that is ahead but make him also fold AJ, AT, KJ, KQ that you beat.
    • GingerKid
      GingerKid
      Black
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,530
      Originally posted by EmanuelC16
      Hey,

      My initial question was going to be why shove if you think he is bluffing very often with weaker broadways than your hand. Sure, you make him fold some equity but not that much imo. I think your hand qualifies enough as a bluffcatcher to call against his range instead of shipping. You make him fold AK that is ahead but make him also fold AJ, AT, KJ, KQ that you beat.

      Yeah, that was my question :) I shoved just to make sure I win also versus AK, but actually I risk that money to get called by TT+ which he also has sometimes. And here I probably lost value, since he folded weaker.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by GingerKid
      Originally posted by EmanuelC16
      Hey,

      My initial question was going to be why shove if you think he is bluffing very often with weaker broadways than your hand. Sure, you make him fold some equity but not that much imo. I think your hand qualifies enough as a bluffcatcher to call against his range instead of shipping. You make him fold AK that is ahead but make him also fold AJ, AT, KJ, KQ that you beat.

      Yeah, that was my question :) I shoved just to make sure I win also versus AK, but actually I risk that money to get called by TT+ which he also has sometimes. And here I probably lost value, since he folded weaker.
      Yep, I like calling more. Both are +EV but you correctly noticed after the hand that calling is likely to be better. :)