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OESD + overs with wide fish in pot

    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      hes a fish 43/35/16.7 with WTS 50% (3 out of 6 hands). i thought the bet on the turn was weak and wanted to raise and also shove the river as a bluff, i saw someone do this against a fish before (i think it was oblioo he said fish was afraid to commit their stacks) but perhaps its not a good plan here?

      river i called just to see his hand so we can discuss, no way i was ahead.

      Hand converted with online hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BU with T, K.
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $1.00, CO folds, Hero calls $1.00, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($2.75) 8, J, 9 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($5.75) 5 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $1.50, Hero raises to $9.00, MP3 calls $7.50.

      River: ($23.75) 6 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50.

      Final Pot: $26.75.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows high card king(Th Ks).
      MP3 shows a pair of jacks(Jh Kc).

      MP3 wins with a pair of jacks(Jh Kc).
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Preflop: This should be an iso-3bet. We don't want others to come along or squeeze us out of the hand. And having initiative is so great vs a fit or fold fish. Maybe he's a station though, with his WTSD of 50%.

      Turn: Not raising here. You must remember who you are dealing with. He is never folding any pair here. If he bets like that with 97, he snap calls you here and probably calls the River as well.

      WTSD of 50% translates to never folding any pair to 3 barrels. Sure it's only 3/6 sample size, but still, the VPIP/PFR and other stuff all points to this guy being a huge whale.