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weak bets all streets

    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      43/26/11.8 looks pretty passive with a 36% WTS

      i thought his bets were like a blockbet maybe someting like Tx JJ QQ maybe bluffs or weak Kx of which most were better than me so i thought i could pull a bluff, perhaps my sizing is too small?


      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $56.24
      SB:
      $216.49
      BB:
      $27.53
      MP2:
      $70.62
      MP3 (Hero):
      $55.15
      CO:
      $51.25


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9, 9.
      MP2 raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 4 folds, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($3.75) 3, T, K (2 players)
      MP2 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50.

      Turn: ($6.75) 3 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50.

      River: ($9.75) 8 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $2.50, Hero raises to $21.00, MP2 calls $18.50.

      Final Pot: $51.75.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows two pairs, nines and threes(9s 9c).
      MP2 shows two pairs, kings and threes(Qh Kd).

      MP2 wins with two pairs, kings and threes(Qh Kd).
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      All earlier streets seem fine to me.

      River is close between a bluff raise and a fold. He's obviously never folding KX here. Question is how often he has a hand worse than KX, and how often he's folding.

      About bet size: This is way too large - You are giving yourself really poor odds on your bluff. I think making it 10 should suffice if you want to raise.

      If he had a lower WTSD I would be more inclined to bluff. Having a higher aggression in general also makes this bluff better (he would have more air and more weaker made hands).

      A passive player would be much less likely to bet the Flop or Turn with 2nd pair, he would probably c/c instead.
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      I would rather raise turn. By calling turn and raising river we are not repping anything at all but missed FD.
      So I would raise turn and probably bet non club rivers