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[NL2-NL10] KK BU nit donks flop

    • gavinonymous
      gavinonymous
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,146
      BB is a 14/4/4.0 nit with 0% 3bet after only 30 hands. The bet was very quick. I really didn't want to fold this, but didn't want to call down either.

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (BTN): $11.74 (117.4 bb)
      SB: $7.74 (77.4 bb)
      BB: $14.46 (144.6 bb)
      UTG: $10 (100 bb)
      MP: $10.54 (105.4 bb)
      CO: $12.71 (127.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
      UTG raises to $0.35, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.90, UTG calls $0.65

      Flop: ($3.05) 8 7 3 (3 players)
      BB bets $1.70, 2 folds

      Results:
      $3.05 pot ($0.14 rake)
      Final Board: 8 7 3
      Hero mucked K K and lost (-$1 net)
      BB mucked and won $2.91 ($1.91 net)
      UTG mucked and lost (-$1 net)
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Gavin,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: So why are we looking at the stats over 30 hands? 30 hands is not really a sample and I can't even remember how many times I have run "bad" and couldn't play many hands over such a small sample.

      His range is full of worse pairs and even draws (AQcc, AJcc) that can play like this so I think folding is definitely weak.
    • gavinonymous
      gavinonymous
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,146
      the bet was really quick from a tight seeming (admittedly not a sample) player, and it influenced my decision.

      do we raise or call? what cards would you continue/fold on the turn and river?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by gavinonymous
      the bet was really quick from a tight seeming (admittedly not a sample) player, and it influenced my decision.

      do we raise or call? what cards would you continue/fold on the turn and river?
      I'd prefer the raise so he doesn't shut down on many turn cards that could give him 2nd pair.

      I'd make it $4 and go with the hand.