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[NL2-NL10] Monster Draw Call,Fold or Raise?

    • Edukator99
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
      SB: 86 BB (VPIP: 18.46, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 136)
      Hero (BB): 183 BB
      UTG: 44 BB (VPIP: 7.14, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
      UTG+1: 107 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
      UTG+2: 90 BB (VPIP: 42.86, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
      MP: 82 BB (VPIP: 10.71, PFR: 3.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 56)
      MP+1: 26 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      CO: 214.5 BB (VPIP: 17.54, PFR: 16.96, 3Bet Preflop: 12.07, Hands: 175)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9:heart: J:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero checks

      Flop: (5 BB, 5 players) 5:heart: T:heart: 8:diamond:
      SB bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, UTG+1 raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 7 BB

      Turn: (28 BB, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets 96 BB and is all-in, fold

      UTG+1 wins 27 BB

      Wow. What a dilemma on the flop. I had a monster draw there. 9 outs for a flush, 3 for a queen to make a straight, 3 sevens for a straight, a back door straight if the cards came down six and seven on the next two streets. I just couldn't see folding to the first bettor there. My dilemma was to raise or call. I just calculated the equity I had in the pot using the equilator and apparently I had a 60% chance of hitting what would likely be the winning hand so I believe the call was correct but would a raise have been better?

      I called hoping I'd hit something and, therefor take down a bigger pot. Or maybe the raiser was bluffing and wouldn't bet the turn. I was stunned when UTG+1 raised. I didn't want to go all in as I thought it likely I was behind, didn't really want to call as I'd probably face a bet on the turn and if I didn't hit...but definitely didn't want to fold. lol

      I think maybe I should have reraised all in on the flop? All my draws beat a set or a big pair I think...
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Edukator,

      Preflop: looks fine given the amount of limpers

      Postflop: First, I really like that you have explained your thought process in so much details. Well done.

      Now, onto the hand itself.

      I think that calling is the correct play in a spot like this because you have a monster draw and would like to keep in as many opponents as possible so you increase the chance you get paid (and the money you can win). Once UTG+1 raises he rarely has a weak hand so we are looking at strong FDs and made hands such as sets and two pair. Getting it in versus them will not really be that great so calling the flop is the best option.

      On the turn we can't really do much versus the shove but fold.

      Well played imo.
    • Edukator99
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      oops posted under wrong thread...dleted