[NL20-NL50] 89

    • zumpar
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      villain is 22/18 AF:2.1, cb flop:56, wtsd 26, fold to flop raise 1/6

      kinda weird tight reg, plays with random stack sizes, but has kind of a decent stats

      im just raising the flop to get it in vs him, once he calls i think he has a Kx always, and there only is 1 bet left, so the question is if i jam turn or check and jam river

      if i check the turn and river is a blank i can rep busted FD's pretty well, so im assuming he will call KX rather likely than just calling turn, downside is, if river is a club, he might get scared and just c/f river...

      idk, any better ideas? :)

      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $31.54 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
      UTG: $17.36 (VPIP: 20.21, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 8.00, Hands: 202)
      MP: $14.60 (VPIP: 22.07, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 6.20, Hands: 1,315)
      CO: $43.26 (VPIP: 23.31, PFR: 20.38, 3Bet Preflop: 12.20, Hands: 935)
      Hero (BTN): $20.00
      SB: $21.95 (VPIP: 23.29, PFR: 17.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 79)

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has 8:club: 9:club:

      fold, MP raises to $0.60, fold, Hero calls $0.60, SB calls $0.50, fold

      Flop: ($2.00, 3 players) K:club: 3:club: 8:diamond:
      SB checks, MP bets $1.50, Hero raises to $4.80, fold, MP calls $3.30

      Turn: ($11.60, 2 players) 8:spade:
      MP checks, Hero checks

      River: ($11.60, 2 players) 2:diamond:
      MP checks, Hero bets $8.00, MP calls $8.00

      MP shows K:spade: Q:spade: (Two Pair, Kings and Eights) (Pre 62%, Flop 50%, Turn 5%)
      Hero shows 8:club: 9:club: (Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 38%, Flop 50%, Turn 95%)
      Hero wins $26.22
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Zumpar,

      I doubt that a villain like him calls Kx on the flop to just fold it to a 2/3 shove on the turn, especially when the board pairs and we rep even less value combos.

      So we should just jam turn and expect everything to call (even some draws if he ever plays them like that).