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[NL2-NL10] AQs and outs

    • Barlin63
      Joined: 28.06.2011 Posts: 104
      Hand 3 (Last one for today).
      I am not sure how to thank the coaches for their analysis and I do not want to reply on every hand analysis. So thanks a lot for your time and knowledge!

      Please find the following hand for analysis:
      I have AQs on the button and decide to flat call a 2bet from MP to see a flop and take it from there. After flop and turn on which I improve (more possible outs) so I decide to call his barrels. On the river I fold because I cannot believe that TP would be the best hand. I am not sure what his holding could be but AJ, AT, KQ or trips. Although his big bet does not convince me that he has the nuts I still opt for a fold.

      What I know about the villains:
      At the time at the table I had 41 hands (21/21, 9% 3bet and 100% fold to 3bet). 100% cbet at flop an 0%cbet at turn. No hard evidence.

      • I guess the flat pre-flop is ok
      • Is the gut shot and the back door flush worth a call on the turn
      • Is the OESD worth a call on the turn

      The hand
      iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: $2.05 (VPIP: 19.13, PFR: 6.96, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 116)
      MP: $2.00 (VPIP: 18.82, PFR: 18.82, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 88)
      MP+1: $2.76 (VPIP: 16.73, PFR: 14.06, 3Bet Preflop: 5.43, Hands: 573)
      CO: $1.29 (VPIP: 20.93, PFR: 16.28, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 43)
      Hero (BTN): $2.03
      SB: $2.88 (VPIP: 17.39, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 23)
      BB: $2.14 (VPIP: 18.33, PFR: 16.94, 3Bet Preflop: 4.13, Hands: 363)
      UTG: $3.02 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 30)

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has Q:club: A:club:

      fold, fold, MP raises to $0.08, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.08, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.19, 2 players) J:diamond: 7:spade: T:club:
      MP bets $0.14, Hero calls $0.14

      Turn: ($0.47, 2 players) 9:diamond:
      MP bets $0.35, Hero calls $0.35

      River: ($1.17, 2 players) A:diamond:
      MP bets $1.43, fold

      MP wins $1.10
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      First of all I would love to congratulate you for your effort in posting the hands and working on your game. Keep this up.

      Now to the hand:

      Preflop, against this guy, in position, calling is fine.

      On the flop I prefer folding here. This is a board where villain will almost never bet without decent equity, and most of our outs are not clean (if we hit Q or A we are not sure that we have the best hand).
      So, unless we spotted a leak in his game (e.g. he cbets the flop a lot but almost never on the turn) I'd fold here.

      The turn is rather a fold here. I don't think we have enough implied odds here to justify a call here and our draw is quite obvious.

      As played, folding the river is perfectly fine. I can't imagine him shoving worse hand here at all.