[NL20-NL50] NL50 KK top set on flush river OOP

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $52.45 (104.9 bb)
      BB: $87.63 (175.3 bb)
      MP: $80.79 (161.6 bb)
      CO: $32.66 (65.3 bb)
      BTN: $66.84 (133.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K:heart: K:diamond:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3) K:club: 8:club: 6:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      Turn: ($7) 7:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BB calls $5

      River: ($17) A:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, BB raises to $28.50, Hero folds

      Results: $37 pot ($1.85 rake)
      Final Board: K:club: 8:club: 6:diamond: 7:heart: A:club:
      Hero mucked K:heart: K:diamond: and lost (-$18.50 net)
      BB mucked and won $35.15 ($16.65 net)

      Unknown opponent.

      I think i can get value with a river bet. Size? I don`t think that check/call makes sence and check/fold is weak.

      One more question. Later in the session his stats were 68/42 52% agg.freq. over 44 hands. With that info how would you play the hand? Check/raise turn? Maybe bet/bet/check call the river because he might bluff on this card. Or bet/bet/bet small on the river to induce?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      It's BvB so bet/bet/bet for value will be very good even on this runout.. you can also bet bigger on the river, he calls quite a bit here imo, still some hands like A7, A8 in his range, Kx doesn't fold that often either (BvB, people are paranoid).

      As played here I think river is a fold. I don't expect enough A8 type hands to raise, or previously slowplayed sets.

      I think you can also consider check/raising flop, betting turn and shoving river. You don't get much credit on the flop unless he has air imo because of the positional combo (SB vs BB). Knowing this, betting flop and check/raising turn is also a nice option since you can represent hands like 89 that turn themselves into a bluff, some flushdraws and possibly as weak as 55.