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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - 99: set vs donkbet

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      51/20
      71% donkbet flop
      64% fold donkbet vs raise
      39% fold vs cbet
      51% wwsf
      4.4 af
      487 hands

      Saw him donkbet like 3 in 2.8 flop, check turn a slightly overber river with air before.

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $138.08 (276.2 bb)
      MP: $53.34 (106.7 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $21.61 (43.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 9
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) T 8 9 (2 players)
      BB bets $5, Hero ?

      Can i risk a call here?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi

      Are you thinking of folding? I think this is clearly not a fold, I am considering between a raise and a call.

      Since it's an overbet I will just call down unless the river brings a 4straight.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      Lol, sure not.
      Im between calling or raising.
      Would you fold in 7/6/T/J? When they come i think many times that if he is bluffing he will love those cards to keep bluffing, but yeah, he will improve sometimes on them.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      i would call on the Turn cos we
      -may have the best hand
      -still have equity to improve to a boat/quads (20%)

      On rivers im probably folding. I think his most likely hand is JX so Q/7 are worse cards than J/6 IMO.