[NL20-NL50] 3way AJs turn decision

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,509
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 100 BB
      UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.74, PFR: 19.60, 3Bet Preflop: 8.69, Hands: 3,971)
      MP: 704.06 BB (VPIP: 18.92, PFR: 16.60, 3Bet Preflop: 5.17, Hands: 268)
      CO: 41.06 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)
      BTN: 70.08 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 3)
      SB: 351 BB (VPIP: 53.33, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:diamond: A:diamond:

      fold, MP raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

      Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 2:club: T:club: A:spade:
      Hero checks, MP bets 6 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

      Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) 2:spade:
      Hero checks, MP bets 16 BB, Hero calls 16 BB

      River: (53.5 BB, 2 players) 3:heart:
      Hero checks, MP checks

      Hero shows J:diamond: A:diamond: (Two Pair, Aces and Twos) (Pre 70%, Flop 62%, Turn 82%)
      MP shows J:club: 8:club: (One Pair, Twos) (Pre 30%, Flop 38%, Turn 18%)
      Hero wins 50.84 BB

      Hand before from bU I was bb, he cbets AJ on AQ2, and check behinds blank turn and bet river 1/2.

      So this time turn was tough, I dont expect him to barrel worse Ax turn especially large, even it is a question with AQ, AK. So fold turn? What if he bets river again? Is there point in calling turn folding blank river?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Preflop: CO is a fish, so I prefer squeezing to 10.50 or 11 to isolate him.

      Turn: 2 flush draws out there. This is a pretty easy call. Maybe he may value bet thinner here with AXs on a double flush turn (but he's a nit so i don't think he knows how to value bet thinly).

      With that said even if his range is AQ/AK/AT/TT/AA/A2s/flush draws, if he has enough clubs/spades here we are likely to be committed in calling.

      River: Do we call a River bet? This is dependent on river card and stats. I would fold on a club/spade. On a blank, look at his river frequencies and decide.