[NL20-NL50] AJo 3bet straigt

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,587
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 63.64 BB (VPIP: 40.40, PFR: 6.19, 3Bet Preflop: 1.23, Hands: 203)
      CO: 118.8 BB (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
      Hero (BTN): 107.5 BB
      SB: 164.36 BB (VPIP: 25.30, PFR: 21.69, 3Bet Preflop: 6.72, Hands: 347)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:heart: A:diamond:

      CO raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 5 BB

      Flop: (15.5 BB, 2 players) 8:club: Q:diamond: 3:spade:
      CO checks, Hero bets 8 BB, CO calls 8 BB

      Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) T:diamond:
      CO checks, Hero bets 16 BB, CO calls 16 BB

      River: (63.5 BB, 2 players) 9:diamond:
      CO checks, Hero bets 32 BB, CO raises to 87.8 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 44.5 BB

      CO shows J:diamond: K:diamond: (Straight Flush, King High) (Pre 29%, Flop 17%, Turn 32%)
      Hero mucks J:heart: A:diamond: (Straight, Queen High) (Pre 71%, Flop 83%, Turn 68%)
      CO wins 212.5 BB

      Hope for a bluff or split on river since there is a lot of dead money? I dont think he bluffs here ever, because he hits here at least something.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Flop: In general when ranges are wide I would often opt to showdown and bluff catch with AK/AJ/AQ high. This board isn't too great though. I don't mind betting here but on low paired flops the EV of checking is much greater.

      Turn: I don't like the bet here unless you are going to bluff a ton of blank rivers. He has so many pair+draw on the Turn which are never folding to a single bet. You need to fire many rivers to push him off stuff like T9/J9.

      River: This is a pokerstove spot. Compare your pot odds vs pot equity. It helps that you have Ad here, less likely he has a backdoor FD. Include KJ (nut straight) and some combos of flushes, and a lot of JX hands. You're getting 22% pot odds I think, but you are only calling for half the pot. I think it's close though. Maybe he bluffs occasionally but I doubt he is bluffing >5% òf the time.