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[NL20-NL50] NL50 99 3bet pot vs fish

    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $21.40 (42.8 bb)
      Hero (SB): $50.26 (100.5 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $19.51 (39 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 9
      CO folds, BTN raises to $1, Hero raises to $3, BB folds, BTN calls $2

      Flop: ($6.50) 8 2 T (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50

      Turn: ($13.50) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($13.50) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      $22.50 pot ($1.01 rake)
      Final Board: 8 2 T 3 J
      BTN showed 4 A and lost (-$11 net)
      Hero showed 9 9 and won $21.49 ($10.49 net)

      577 hands
      open BU 40%
      fold to 3bet 11%
      fold to cbet flop 44%
      WTSD 36%
      WWSF 50%
      Agg freq 27/25/48

      My plan was to chk/ship turn.

      I think my call river was bad.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Why is your plan to check/shove turn?

      Even though your opponent is likely to call with worse postflop very often, I think you should still be more inclined to check and turn your hand more into a bluffcatcher. As played, your assumption should be that he floats quite wide on the flop and then calling river is OK since you do beat some of the floating hands like A high overs, BD flushes with overs, etc.

      That said, he has an average fold vs cbet so it's not very likely his range is that wide. Given the odds, calling river still won't be bad but it's not super profitable... my main concern is whether he vbets a hand like T7s on the river.

      In summary, my line would start with checking flop. Preflop was fine btw, he calls way too much, that's why I didn't mention anything about it.