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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AJo:second pair + gut shot

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      48% steal bu
      38% fold vs 3bet
      70% cbet flop
      50% cbet turn
      23% agg% river
      43% wwsf
      862 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 3 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $53.20 (106.4 bb)
      BTN: $18.25 (36.5 bb)
      SB: $19 (38 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
      BTN raises to $1.50, SB folds, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) K 2 J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1.75, Hero calls $1.75

      Turn: ($6.75) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.50, Hero ?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      I think this is a fold.. He bets quite big and once you call the flop you definitely hit that board yet he barrels on a card that coordinates it even more thus giving you a lot more equity usually. It's hard for him to bluff with so small equity here in his whole range that you can call so folding is best.
    • double2
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Why wouldn't you 3bet/call shove? I think there is a lot of value in 3betting.
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      48% is not super wide from BU and when we include hands in our opponents range we usually have to start with hands that have us in quite bad shape like AQ, plus other pairs, he won't start of by getting it in with AT.

      It might still be +EV to stack off but playing HU with AJo against his stack will definitely show a good profit.