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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - 89s: st8 draw + tp vs overbet

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      2.1 af
      47% wwsf
      29% fold vs cbet flop
      53 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $54.58 (109.2 bb)
      BTN: $59.67 (119.3 bb)
      Hero (SB): $63.16 (126.3 bb)
      BB: $55.64 (111.3 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 9
      3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3) 6 7 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.25, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $2.25

      Turn: ($12) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $17.50, Hero folds ?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Heh, quite a sick spot.. I actually don't mind calling with TP + OESD. He doesn't look like a reg from the 53 hands you have on him given VPIP/PFR but I have not seen fish overbet that often either and if he is a reg, an overbet here is more often a strong draw which you usually beat. That said, he did minraise flop which is usually also a sign of more recreational player that does a bit more random stuff so I honestly cannot give e decisive answer. I think folding is always safest, your hand is not very strong nor that easy to play so against an overbet that is the safe play. That said, you can definitely still argue a call and play re-eval river if you are confident in your ranges and your hand reading abilities against unknown opponents at your stake. Also, not tilting if you are wrong in your assumptions is a must. If being wrong here when calling makes you tilt, just fold. You are not right often enough to justigy tilting almost ever.