[NL20-NL50] NL50 AJo bluff turn+river in 3b pot?

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $113.48 (227 bb)
      Hero (BB): $51.69 (103.4 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $52.75 (105.5 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A J
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5, MP calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.25) 7 4 T (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($10.25) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, MP calls $5

      River: ($20.25) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $10, MP calls $10

      $40.25 pot ($2.01 rake)
      Final Board: 7 4 T K T
      Hero showed A J and lost (-$20 net)
      MP showed A Q and won $38.24 ($18.24 net)

      22/21 17% agg. freq. fold to 3bet 67%(3) 83hands

      Preflop, i think 3bet as a bluff is ok.

      On the flop, i decided to give up. I don`t think i have enough pot equity + FE to Cbet OOP.

      On this turn, should i bet with the plan to bet most rivers, to make him fold some PP?

      This river is not the best, but i thought i can still bet it? Is the sizing ok?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I would just fold here. Prefer to have more reads about his preflop tendencies

      Flop: I think c/f here is fine. His PF range is mostly AQ and pocket pairs here. Don't think our fold equity is too high, especially if he floats AQ on this flop.

      Turn: Don't like your bet size. AK would usually bet larger here. I would bet 7 on the Turn.

      River: I don't think he would have TX here too often given starting positions but that is technically a bad bluffing card if he could somehow have some TX hands in his PF range which chose to pot control Flop.

      Again if you want to bluff at it, I would bet bigger. Should we bet at it though? We should if we felt he somehow calls Turn with pairs below the Ten, as well as AJ/AQ which could fold the River.