[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - 55 set but board gets bad

    • ILuvBeachVB
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 358
      No Limit Hold'em $0.10/$0.25
      Full Tilt Poker
      6 players
      Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      UTG - UTG ($30.86)
      MP - MP ($27.28)
      CO - CO ($31.50)
      BTN - Hero ($26.14)
      SB - SB ($25.03)
      BB - BB ($43.71)

      Preflop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is BTN with 5:spade: 5:diamond:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: 3:spade: 5:heart: 6:heart: ($1.85, 2 players)
      CO bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5.00, CO calls $3.50

      Turn: 9:heart: ($11.85, 2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: 7:club: ($11.85, 2 players)
      CO bets $9.40, 1 fold, Uncalled bet of $9.40 returned to CO

      Total Pot: $11.85
      CO mucks

      CO wins $11.26

      Villain: 22/12/8/18/76 [VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS/# hands]

      After he calls my raise on F, I think a heart flush draw makes up a big part of his range. That is why I checked behind on turn. I believe he would have reraised the flop with overpairs or 33/66, so what else can he have than 87 or a flush draw, which both complete on the turn?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I don't think your assumptions are necessarily true about him always 3betting the Flop with overpairs and always flatting heart draws on the Flop. He could 3bet some combo flush draws on the Flop, and I think it's perfectly reasonable for villain to take a more passive line with overpairs (Don't forget you are strongly repping sets when you raise on a 3 low-card Flop).

      The turn is pretty much the worst in the deck. It completes 87s and heart draws so I think the Turn check is reasonable.

      On the river, if he's never bluffing then I think you can fold. I'm not so sure about such an assumption though. I suppose hearts get there, so did 4x/8x. Kind of gross though, not a big deal folding here.