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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - KK OP gets CR

    • ILuvBeachVB
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 382
      No Limit Hold'em $0.25/$0.50
      Full Tilt Poker
      6 players
      Formatted by - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      UTG - Hero ($50.50)
      MP - MP ($21.60)
      CO - CO ($56.40)
      BTN - BTN ($51.60)
      SB - SB ($50.00)
      BB - BB ($50.00)

      Preflop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is UTG with K:diamond: K:heart:
      Hero raises to $1.50, 4 folds, BB calls $1.00

      Flop: 9:diamond: Q:club: 4:heart: ($3.25, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.00, BB raises to $6.50, Hero calls $4.50

      Turn: 2:club: ($16.25, 2 players)
      BB bets $11.50, Hero calls $11.50

      River: A:heart: ($39.25, 2 players)
      BB bets $30.50 (all-in), 1 fold, Uncalled bet of $30.50 returned to BB

      Total Pot: $39.25
      BB mucks

      BB wins $37.30

      Villain: 22/16/3/33/176 [VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS/# hands]

      Guy seems like a regular TAG. So when he CR, what can he have on this dry board other than set or JT? Maybe AQ/KQ I guess. And possibly some air? Seems unlikely to bluff CR vs my UTG open though.

      Folding flop seems too tight though, but raising/shoving seemed like an overplay. So instead I station 2 streets and THEN fold, which sucked as well. Would love to know the best line for this hand.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      We don't know too much about this guy except he's a regular TAG. Regular TAGs could have QQ in their preflop range here vs a UTG range but I think he would definitely c/c top set here.

      Flop: I don't think regular regs c/r AQ and KQ here. Would he c/r 99 and 44 on such a dry board? Maybe but I think it's less likely. Maybe he has some straight draws like KTs and JTs.

      Turn: Brings a new flush draw, but is otherwise an innocuous card. I think calling a hand as strong as KK here is fine.

      River: Being readless here, we should just think about our entire bluff catching range on the River, and divide out our range. We are facing a 3/4 pot sized bet, so we should be bluff catching with the top 56% of hands. What do you think you are getting to the River with? Count out those combos and arrange them in descending order, and call with the top 56% of those hands while folding the rest.