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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - KJs hits straight on paired board

    • ILuvBeachVB
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 385
      No Limit Hold'em $0.25/$0.50
      Full Tilt Poker
      6 players
      Formatted by - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      UTG - UTG ($54.90)
      MP - MP ($50.00)
      CO - CO ($90.30)
      BTN - BTN ($50.00)
      SB - Hero ($71.30)
      BB - BB ($129.40)

      Preflop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is SB with J:diamond: K:diamond:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $4.00, BB calls $3.50, 1 fold

      Flop: T:spade: J:spade: T:diamond: ($9.25, 2 players)
      Hero bets $5.55, BB calls $5.55

      Turn: Q:heart: ($20.35, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks

      River: 9:club: ($20.35, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks

      Total Pot: $20.35
      Hero shows J:diamond: K:diamond: (a straight, King high)
      BB mucks A:heart: A:spade:

      Hero wins $19.35

      I 3bet as bluff in SB because the BU has 81% FT3B.

      BB: 30/21/1.9/37/323 [VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS/# hands]

      Bet turn? I checked because what better hand folds? What worse hand calls?

      Value bet river? If we value bet river and get raised, do we fold? Seems like many Tx combinations hit a FH. And we are behind AK of course.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I don't really care how often he folds to 3bets. I 3bet here cos calling sucks in SB. If he is folding so often to 3bets, then it would be a complete waste to turn KJs into a bluff and I would definitely flat KJs in the BB.

      Flop: Lots of value from broadways and spade draws

      Turn: We are doing poorly now, we can't value bet turn when KQ/AQ improved.

      River: A good spot to check again if villain is aggro and will turn some made hands into bluffs. Problem with this runout is that I think he shouldn't have too many bottom pair type of hands which can be turned into bluffs. The worse made hand he can have here is AJ, KJ has a straight, and he has AQ/KQ for top pair. He probably doesn't have TX here as he would bet the Turn and even if he had that he probably doesn't turn it into a bluff on the River.

      Is there any value in a river bet though? I Don't really see him calling too often but you could try.