[NL2-NL10] anon tables nl4 sh KTs SB sqz

    • noulispa
      Joined: 27.01.2010 Posts: 1,280
      BTN: $3.50 (87.5 bb) 36/18/flc bet 60/pf agg 9 0 50 /hands 47
      SB: $8.35 (208.8 bb)
      BB: $4.67 (116.8 bb)
      UTG: $6.56 (164 bb)
      MP: $4.61 (115.3 bb) 17/15/fld 3bet 100/rfi CO 13/100 hands
      CO: $8.02 (200.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is Sb with K :club: T :club:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.12, CO folds, BTN calls $0.12, SB raises to $0.48, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.36

      preflop i think ok sqz the mp seems tight and the btn is fishy so we 3bet for value against him.

      Flop: ($1.12) Q:club: Q:spade: 4:club: (2 players)
      SB bets $0.56, BTN raises to $3.02 and is all-in, SB calls $2.46

      Turn: ($7.16) A:spade: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($7.16) K:heart: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      the flop is an equilab answer. So we need 34 % to make the call.

      The range i gave him is JJ-77,4d4s,AQs,KQs,QJs,AcKc,AcJc,KcJc,AcTc,Ac9c,Ac5c,Ac4c,AQo,KQo,QJo

      and we got 36.8 %I put one combo of 44 and the AcKc if he doesnt 3be pre but i think he prob 3bet pre cause got an ok pfr. so we get 36.8 here % what u think ?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: I think the squeeze is reasonable.

      Flop: Pot odds = 34.4%, our equity here is probably slightly higher as you said. maybe he could have some worse flush draws like 9c8c as well.

      I think with the K high FD we have to stack off here. Maybe you are giving him way too many pairs though, I think you have to discount those from his range.

      Board: QcQs4c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 70.58% 70.49% 0.10% { JJ-TT, 4d4s, AQs, KQs, QJs, AcKc, AcJc, KcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac5c, Ac4c, AQo, KQo, QJo }
      MP3 29.42% 29.32% 0.10% { KcTc }

      I think this is a close decision. With the nut flush draw this would be a clear all-in, with the King high it's close, and with J high FD this is a fold.