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[NL20-NL50] ATs TPGK against loose

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $55.16 (110.3 bb)
      MP: $37.86 (75.7 bb)
      CO: $54.14 (108.3 bb)
      BTN: $9.90 (19.8 bb)
      Hero (SB): $52.30 (104.6 bb)
      BB: $57.06 (114.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A T
      UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2, BB folds, MP calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.50) 9 A 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.75, MP calls $2.75

      Turn: ($10) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.50, MP calls $6.50

      River: ($23) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $11.50, Hero folds

      $23 pot ($1.15 rake)
      Final Board: 9 A 7 K J
      MP mucked and won $21.85 ($10.60 net)
      Hero mucked A T and lost (-$11.25 net)


      river card was bit too strong to bet again.
      and I think he made some two pair or draw.
      Although there was pair + draw on river possibility, should I fold?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I think you can definitely 2 barrel for value here vs such a loose fish.
      Question is what's our preferred line on the River?

      It sucks that T8 got there, as well as some backdoor diamonds. I still think he has any AX here, and we only lose to AJ AQ AK A9 A7, while beating A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A8. We need to discount AJ/AK/KK/JJ from villain's range cos he would be likely to either raise those preflop, or raise at some point in time on the Flop or Turn.

      I think we can bet 11 here and fold to a raise. And I don't like the c/c line, i think there are hardly any busted draws, so when he bets here he is usually doing so with hands that has us beat. It's between c/f and b/f