[NL2-NL10] nl2 Right turn and river play?

    • Edukator99
      Edukator99
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

      BTN: 103.5 BB (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
      SB: 150.5 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 13.54, 3Bet Preflop: 7.50, Hands: 99)
      Hero (BB): 262 BB
      UTG: 412 BB (VPIP: 10.81, PFR: 8.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.92, Hands: 149)
      UTG+1: 11 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
      UTG+2: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
      MP: 98 BB (VPIP: 12.68, PFR: 8.78, 3Bet Preflop: 2.74, Hands: 207)
      MP+1: 88.5 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
      CO: 126.5 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7h Ts

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, SB calls 6 BB

      Flop: (18 BB, 2 players) 7d Js 6c
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: (18 BB, 2 players) Tc
      SB bets 13 BB, Hero calls 13 BB

      River: (44 BB, 2 players) 9h
      SB checks, Hero bets 20 BB, SB calls 20 BB

      Hero shows 7h Ts (Two Pair, Tens and Sevens) (Pre 49%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)
      SB mucks 3d 3h (One Pair, Threes) (Pre 51%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins 81 BB


      The villain had a 4/8 steal stat from the SB so I raised to steal back. I was surprised when he called.

      I checked the flop as I thought he'd likely only call if I was beat...I only have middle pair....

      Now the 10 on the turn. He bet... 2/3 of the pot...it looked like a protection bet so I didn't think he was on a draw. He hadn't bet the flop so I thought he might be trying to steal. I had a pair and a gut shot so I called. Which at the time I actually thought I probably shouldn't EV wise. Should I have folded here.

      On the river, the 10 hits. He checked. I really didn't think he was on a draw. I thought he might have AJ, or some sort of Jx...possibly J9 or J8 which are both very bad. I quickly decided he like had a jack of some kind and would call with one pair or fold if he'd missed a draw...with the possibility of a straight out there he might fold a two pair hand...
      So I bet half the pot.


      Should I have folded on the turn? And just checked the river?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Edukator,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: We should bet that flop to try and take the pot down. Villain has a lot of high cards and other hands that can fold and we really don't want to face a turn bet unimproved.

      As played the river bet is thin but he may call Jx type hands
    • Edukator99
      Edukator99
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      Stupid questions but you mean "thin" as in... very close to 50/50 that I'm beat?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Edukator99
      Stupid questions but you mean "thin" as in... very close to 50/50 that I'm beat?
      Thin means that we are targetting a smaller part of his range.

      When we thin value bet we bet with less than premium holdings in hopes that we get called lighter and make some additional money.

      For example. If you had a QK that would be a value bet because you have the nuts. The lower the value of your hand the more thin the valuebet becomes (or bet).