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[NL2-NL10] check for bluff later?

    • Edukator99
      Edukator99
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 140 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
      SB: 70.5 BB (VPIP: 8.21, PFR: 5.64, 3Bet Preflop: 1.52, Hands: 199)
      BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 13.54, 3Bet Preflop: 7.50, Hands: 99)
      UTG: 184 BB (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
      UTG+1: 68.5 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
      UTG+2: 134 BB (VPIP: 8.98, PFR: 6.64, 3Bet Preflop: 3.37, Hands: 257)
      MP: 84.5 BB (VPIP: 62.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
      MP+1: 195 BB (VPIP: 17.86, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
      Hero (CO): 105.5 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to 4 BB, UTG+2 calls 4 BB, MP calls 4 BB, fold, Hero raises to 16 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 12 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (41.5 BB, 2 players) K:diamond: 3:diamond: A:spade:
      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 30 BB, fold

      Hero wins 40 BB

      I'm certain if I bet here he folds but I'm praying he has AK.

      He folded...

      Would it be better EV if I check in this spot to induce bluff on the turn?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Edukator,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I wouldn't check the flop but I think our bet is way too big. There are only 3 combinations of AK.

      I would bet like 10-15 BB to induce something from him and don't forget that there are almost no flush draws in his range (we hold the Ad).