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[NL20-NL50] AQs vs fish.

    • Natrilis
      Natrilis
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 378
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $20 (100 bb)
      UTG: $45.81 (229.1 bb)
      MP: $2.94 (14.7 bb)
      CO: $65.52 (327.6 bb)
      BTN: $9.66 (48.3 bb)
      Hero (SB): $23.63 (118.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A Q
      UTG folds, MP raises to $2.94 and is all-in, CO raises to $5.68, BTN folds, Hero ?

      MP fish 42 hands 61/10 3bet- 6.3

      CO fish 25hands 71/21 3bet -28.6


      Its good spot to reraise all in versus 2 fishs?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      We should think about this spot in 2 ways.

      1) Are we a favourite over MP's push?

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 51.89% 47.88% 4.02% { AQs }
      MP3 48.11% 44.09% 4.02% { 22+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }

      Barely a favourite

      2) Are we a favourite over CO's iso-3bet?

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 42.32% 34.51% 7.81% { AQs }
      MP3 57.68% 49.87% 7.81% { 99+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

      Note that I think I am being fairly optimistic with my assumptions. IMO AQs is way too weak to continue here, I would require at least JJ/AK to reshove over villain. Don't forget you are deep, which makes things even worse if CO has a strong hand here.