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[NL2-NL10] NL10 K7s flush paired board

    • tommygecko
      Joined: 11.08.2012 Posts: 1,229
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (CO): $13.17 (131.7 bb)
      BTN: $4.04 (40.4 bb)
      SB: $7.15 (71.5 bb)
      BB: $10.15 (101.5 bb)
      UTG: $12.88 (128.8 bb)
      MP: $7.92 (79.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 K
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, SB calls $0.15, BB folds

      Flop: ($0.70) A A 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BTN folds, SB calls $0.35

      Turn: ($1.40) J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50

      River: ($2.40) 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $2.40, Hero raises to $12.12 and is all-in, SB calls $3.70 and is all-in

      $14.60 pot ($0.73 rake)
      Final Board: A A 2 J 5
      Hero showed 7 K and lost (-$7.15 net)
      SB showed A J and won $13.87 ($6.72 net)

      Value shove is fine here?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      If the pairing card was another card besides the Ace, I think a shove is probably good. I would like to point out a few things here

      1) The pot bet on the River - I think that with a weaker flush like Q or T, he should not be betting so large

      2) When the Ace is paired, he can have so many boats. Assuming this guy is really loose preflop, he can have ...

      A2 (6 combos)
      AJ (6 combos)
      A5 (6 combos)
      22 (3 combos)
      That's a total of 21 value combos.

      Are we sure we can beat more than 21 combos of worse hands? I doubt it. I think you should call here.