[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL30 - KQo

    • bosiati
      bosiati
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.05.2008 Posts: 697
      Cassava Poker $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2171537
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (CO): $30.00
      BTN: $39.45
      SB: $30.60
      BB: $65.65
      UTG: $75.65

      Pre Flop: ($0.45) Hero is CO with Q :heart: K :club:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.90, 1 fold, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

      Flop: ($2.70) Q :spade: J :spade: 5 :heart: (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2, SB raises to $6.22, BB folds, Hero raises to $29.10, SB calls $22.88

      Turn: ($60.90) J :club: (2 players)

      River: ($60.90) 7 :club: (2 players)


      Hello!

      Stats:
      SB: 147 hands 30/22/10.9
      FoldSBToSteal:59, Resteal:21
      FoldToFCb:71 Raise:0(6)
      WTSD:12, W$SD:33 (3)
      AF:3.0, AFq: 36%
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      If you look at SB stats, you can see so far he never raised a cbet and folded very often. What range do you give him when he raises the flop in such a case?
    • bosiati
      bosiati
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.05.2008 Posts: 697
      I think his range is : 55, some JJ(3/6) and AQ(4/16), some suited Ax, suited broadways, JQ, often KT and 9Ts. I don't calculate any bloff because I don't have info.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Cool, that's approximately the range I would give him too. From Equilab we get this:


      Board: Q:spade: J:spade: 5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    25.47%  25.18%   0.29% { KcQh }
      MP3    74.53%  74.24%   0.29% { JJ, 55, AQs, KTs, QJs, AsTs, As9s, Ts9s, As5s, QJo }



      This means that you usually have around 25% equity vs his raise but we also almost never have folding equity so shoving is already not good.

      We don't get the odds to call either. That means we should fold. This is a quite typically found situation where you either have medium equity against a good draw or are almost dead against 2pair or better which makes it a fold. A lot of players are tricked at first by thinking it's draw or made hand but they are ahead of a draw so getting it in is fine. That's not true because the true is not in rough shape and in overall equity you are doing quite badly against that range.