[NL20-NL50] NL50 AJ vs cr

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (CO): $60.96 (121.9 bb)
      BTN: $51.01 (102 bb)
      SB: $56.64 (113.3 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A J
      MP folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN folds, SB calls $1, BB folds

      Flop: ($3) 6 7 J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB raises to $7.15, Hero calls $5.15

      Turn: ($17.30) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($17.30) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Results:
      $17.30 pot ($0.78 rake)
      Final Board: 6 7 J 6 6
      Hero showed A J and won $16.52 ($8.12 net)
      SB showed K Q and lost (-$8.40 net)


      20k hands
      21/16/6.0
      call open SB vs steal 9%
      raise cbet flop 13% (14% oop)
      WTSD 24%
      WWSF 42%
      Agg freq 38/29/25
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      I think his cbet is high enough so you don't fold TPTK here. If he c/r very polarised, you can easily call here being quite ahead of his bluffs and if he would c/r depolarised, with thinner value hands that just 2pair and sets, you are still ahead of most of that range, ahead enough to call.

      On the turn, I understand checking behind to look weaker and potentially induce a bluff but on the river, after his second check, I think you have a value bet. That said, we know his range to be weak so I would bet very small, more to induce a final desperate raise than to expect a call. I would personally bet around 2.50 here, might not be the ideal size so definitely want to hear thoughts on that.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Yeah, I think that I have the best hand river >90% of the time, what I'm thinking now that I didn't think at the time was that I might as well bet river to balance the times I have a hand like 89s or even T8s/T9s.

      How would you play 89s, bet turn or chk back turn? On second thought I would probably bet it, so maybe we should actually bet AJ turn?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by double2
      Yeah, I think that I have the best hand river >90% of the time, what I'm thinking now that I didn't think at the time was that I might as well bet river to balance the times I have a hand like 89s or even T8s/T9s.

      How would you play 89s, bet turn or chk back turn? On second thought I would probably bet it, so maybe we should actually bet AJ turn?
      When we know our opponent's range so clearly we should focus on exploiting it if it is exploitable. Here he is so we can just bet with our bluffs and check our strong hands since we know he most often has air and we look to induce on river with our made hands while also just taking it down with our weaker hands.