[NL20-NL50] NL50 KQ 3bet pot 3barrel

    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $110.69 (221.4 bb)
      BTN: $52.75 (105.5 bb)
      Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q K
      2 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, Hero raises to $4.50, BB folds, BTN calls $3.25

      Flop: ($9.50) J 4 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, BTN calls $5

      Turn: ($19.50) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $10.50, BTN calls $10.50

      River: ($40.50) 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $30 and is all-in, BTN folds

      Results:
      $40.50 pot ($1.82 rake)
      Final Board: J 4 8 9 7
      BTN mucked and lost (-$20 net)
      Hero mucked Q K and won $38.68 ($18.68 net)


      15k hands
      26/22/9.3%
      open BU 56%
      fold to 3bet BU 52%
      4bet range BU 6.5%
      fold to cbet in 3bet pot flop/turn 53/36
      WTSD 26%

      Nice hand?
  • 5 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hiya,

      Having this hand as a bluff is fine imo (OK equity, overcards).. However, I am unsure of the river shove. Do you have Tx often here in your range? I think you are definitely perceived to have some flushes so that's good but at the same time you can probably discount like 18 combos of overcards on such a runout so we probably need to gain more FE since our range is weaker, probably quite bluffheavy.

      Hard to say his own range so we can probably think about our own some more. What value hands do you have here usually?

      You can also look into your DB for this spot and see if people fold a lot more often than they should. Then you can just expand your bluff range.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      My value range here is T9, T8, ATs and ATo, QTs, KTs, T7s, AcQc, AcKc, KcQc, 7c8c, Ac2c+. Maybe some Kcxc.

      Should I value shove QQ+?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      You are giving your opponent about 30% odds so you can bluff about 30% and be balanced. You have about 40 combos of value according to equilab (rough estimate, Tx can lose sometimes ofc). That means you can have about 17 bluff combos.

      How I got there:

      40 combos means 70% value
      x combos means 30% bluffs

      x=(40*30)/70.

      Now think about how many bluff combos you have in your range. Try to be honest, maybe recheck your value range. If you are not objective and honest with yourself here you might end up spewing money.. I know I had my "how could he call here" moments.

      @QQ shove: I think you shouldn't.. doesn't seem like you actually have value in that bet.
    • double2
      double2
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 04.11.2008 Posts: 14,642
      I really don't know exactly but I probably have a lot more bluff combos than 17.

      I do think I can be unbalanced towards bluffs at this stake, but not this much probably...
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      If you don't have many more bluffs in your range it's still fine just make sure to pay attention.