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[NL20-NL50] TJs strong draw deep

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 100.3 BB (VPIP: 22.07, PFR: 18.92, 3Bet Preflop: 11.24, Hands: 229)
      UTG: 201.36 BB (VPIP: 26.92, PFR: 22.84, 3Bet Preflop: 8.13, Hands: 433)
      CO: 144.28 BB (VPIP: 33.86, PFR: 19.12, 3Bet Preflop: 2.71, Hands: 913)
      Hero (BTN): 147.9 BB
      SB: 153.5 BB (VPIP: 18.76, PFR: 16.21, 3Bet Preflop: 6.50, Hands: 566)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:spade: T:spade:

      UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) Q:spade: 3:spade: 9:club:
      UTG bets 5.62 BB, Hero raises to 14 BB, UTG calls 8.38 BB

      Turn: (35.5 BB, 2 players) J:heart:
      UTG checks, Hero bets 20 BB, UTG calls 20 BB

      River: (75.5 BB, 2 players) K:diamond:
      UTG checks, Hero bets 54 BB, UTG calls 54 BB

      UTG shows A:club: A:heart: (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 78%, Flop 44%, Turn 55%)
      Hero shows J:spade: T:spade: (Straight, King High) (Pre 22%, Flop 56%, Turn 45%)
      Hero wins 177.5 BB

      Is it ok to raise in such a spot? I want to put pressure on him since we are deep, and if he has something (set, overpair, TPTK) the pot will grow and I have 50% chance to hit nuts, and play for stacks.
      Should I bet turn, or is it better to check behind? Can I expect FE on turn? What about betting river? I think it is a bet/fold, since he could do that with ATs with flush draw. Is sizeing ok on river
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I likely can´t b/f river, since he can´t have AsTs and it is very optimistic him to float something like AcTc

      I like your flop raise and I would also bet turn. Some players are scared money and fold big bet on the turn hands like KQ/AQ, or overpairs. 20bb bet seems a little small, if you want to have fold equity against better hands then 30bb is better option.

      River valuebet size is fine.

      best regard,s