[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - KJ: vs aggro reg

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      36/34
      3.1 af
      50% steal from co
      42% fold vs 3bet
      4% 4bet range
      20% fold vs cbet 3bp
      53% wwsf
      19% wtsd
      363 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $54.73 (109.5 bb)
      SB: $64.09 (128.2 bb)
      Hero (BB): $53.37 (106.7 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)
      CO: $51.63 (103.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K J
      MP folds, CO raises to $1, BTN folds, SB calls $0.75, Hero raises to $5, CO calls $4, SB folds

      Flop: ($11) 8 8 K (2 players)
      Hero bets $6, CO calls $6

      Turn: ($23) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $11.75, CO calls $11.75

      River: ($46.50) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $28.88, Hero folds

      Was this play ok? I feel kinda bad to fold TPGK against this guy..
  • 4 replies
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Do you have any street by street aggression info? I rather like river aggression as an indicator of how often he is likely to stab at the pot with weak @ showdown hands.

      If turn was not a :heart: I would love check/calling river vs him. Looks like the max value line to me.

      The way the board runs out here does make me feel like if you don't bet/fold you have to check/fold as he will check back with a lot of value hands he might have made a bluff-catch with and it kind of seems to me he'll have a lot more value hands than bluff hands with which to bet with.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      Hi.

      I'm not sure why you are betting the Turn. When the turn brings the 3rd , I don't see how you are ever getting paid off by worse. I would check and decide the Turn, fold if he never turns stuff into bluffs and calls if he does.

      Given his 20% fold to F cbet I think this guy is a floater type so I'll just c/c T and c/c R. Let him turn his Ace highs or 99 into a bluff here and rep the flush

      Thanks.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      I think villains might put me in hands like Q :heart: x and A :heart: x when i bet the turn calling with second pair (specially if also have a extra flush draw). Dont you think?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      maybe, maybe not. You need to see whether you have value vs his entire range though. Vs a range of 8X/KX/flushes and some pairs lower than the King (TT/99), i think we are a dog here. I'm assuming that villain 4bets AK/JJ/QQ

      Board: 8s8hKh3h
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 64.82% 58.89% 5.93% { TdTh, ThTs, ThTc, 9d9h, 9h9s, 9h9c, KTs+, 98s, 87s, AhQh, AhJh, KQo }
      MP3 35.18% 29.25% 5.93% { KsJd }