[NL2-NL10] BW overplay?

    • Stedyeddy
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($32.85)
      BB ($22.50)
      UTG ($9.97)
      CO ($11)
      BTN ($25)

      Dealt to Hero 2:spade: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.11, BB calls $0.61

      FLOP ($2.22) 7:spade: Q:club: T:club:

      Hero bets $1.03, BB calls $1.03

      TURN ($4.28) 7:spade: Q:club: T:club: 4:diamond:

      Hero bets $2, BB calls $2

      RIVER ($8.28) 7:spade: Q:club: T:club: 4:diamond: J:heart:

      Hero bets $5.86, BB folds

      Hero shows 2:spade: Q:spade:

      Hero wins $7.91


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      My opinion: its a solid grinder, and fold a loooot against SB steal (70%). My plan was to play b/broke flop, bet/fold turn (only agains him, bcause I know her game), and bet good rivers like -9.
      This river is a problem for me, because now he dont call whit a Tx.
      I like the c/f river against this oponent. He dont bluff a hand whit SV, and a draw raice flop.

      What is your opinion?
  • 2 replies
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop stealing against this guy is definitely good and I'd steal quite wide here.

      On the flop I would bet around $1.5, but I really don't like the idea of bet/shoving on the flop. I think he mostly raises strong draws and good made hands and I don't think that we stand good against his possible raising range.

      As played, I'd bet around $2.5 on the turn.

      The river is a check/fold here in my opinion. I don't think he calls worse hands, and I doubt he folds better so check/folding will be fine.
      Also, hands like KJ/J9 will now be happy to just check back, since they have SD value.

    • Stedyeddy
      Joined: 28.02.2011 Posts: 7,502
      exelent evaluation kymupa.