[NL2-NL10] AQ call utg raise IP NL5

    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2174170
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP1: $5.05 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 6.0, Hands: 98
      MP2: $5.20 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 3, AF: 1.1, Hands: 112
      CO: $1.87 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 93
      Hero (BTN): $5.00 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 4.1, Hands: 69285
      SB: $11.69 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 3, AF: 3.0, Hands: 4966
      BB: $4.63 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 21
      UTG: $4.58 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 9.2, Hands: 990
      UTG+1: $1.67 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 10, 3B: 3, AF: 0.0, Hands: 106

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with Q :diamond: A :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.15, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds

      Flop: ($0.37) A :heart: 7 :heart: 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

      Turn: ($0.87) 7 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.10, UTG calls $0.70

      River: ($3.07) 4 :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $1.30, UTG calls $1.30


      Hi,

      Preflop I called because I think I have good equity aggainst his range.

      This guys ep pfr was 16, so I'm guessing his range should be AJ+, maybe even AT

      When he bet the turn aggain I raised because he looked like he would stay in.

      After he called my turn raise and checked the river I think betting is ok.
      turn and river don't really make his hand better
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      hi.

      i want u to use pokerstrategy equilab, see your equity vs a likely calling range on the turn when u raise. then u can analyze this spot and see how good of a play your raise is.

      <50% = value cutting yourself

      50-55% = thin value, may be bad

      55%+ = value
    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      we don't really need equilab to know that with AJ+ it's 50-50, but if we include AT there is a huge difference, this way I have 63%

      The question is can we include AT?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      board: Ah7h8d7s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AK,AQ,AJ,AT,77,88,AA,A7s,78s,67s,97s 52.21% 650 400
      AdQd 47.79% 578 400

      You assumed he only has AX here, and can never have trips or sets. You also he is always calling the Turn raise with AJ and AT which is definitely not true. What is he actually beating here with AJ/AT when you raise the Turn? Hardly anything, unless you are semi bluffing.

      In reality your equity vs a range which calls you is going to be 30% or less and this is a clear call on the Turn.