[NL20-NL50] AQs thin value bet river or not ??

    • dzikson999
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $25.00
      BB: $41.65
      Hero (UTG): $27.14
      BTN: $25.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A:spade: Q:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.75, fold, SB calls $0.65, fold

      Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) 8:spade: 6:diamond: Q:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.25, 2 players) 2:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.25, SB calls $3.25

      River: ($10.75, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      SB checks, Hero checks
      Villain is 24 /16 with wtsd 28%, w&sd 50%, 3 bet 4 % Af 1 around 100 hands
      Is it mistake to ch/b river and if i value bet riv what siezing should i take 1/2 pot ?? And if i had flush in same spot what sizeing should i use then same or ..... ??
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Betting river would require the read that your opponent is loose and stationy and also requires a super aggro image. IF not i can't imagine you getting called by a ton of worse hands.

      Factors favouring a bet
      -You are in late position with wider ranges
      -Opponent's WTSD is kind of high at 28%

      i still think you can't bet the river. what's his fold to River cbet? How are you perceived by villain?