[NL20-NL50] 55 bottom set vs river raise nl 25

    • dzikson999
      Joined: 17.08.2010 Posts: 532
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $25.00
      CO: $34.34
      Hero (BTN): $25.00
      SB: $10.72
      BB: $25.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 5:heart: 5:spade:

      fold, CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold

      Flop: ($1.85, 2 players) J:heart: 5:club: 9:diamond:
      CO checks, Hero bets $1.25, CO calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35, 2 players) A:club:
      CO checks, Hero bets $3.00, CO calls $3.00

      River: ($10.35, 2 players) 7:club:
      CO checks, Hero bets $8.00, CO raises to $17.25, Hero calls $9.25

      Villain was 27/25 , af 1.9, small sample ?
      I was very confused with his line i dont see many hands play like this so i decided to look what do you think about my call ? ( this is i guess top off my calling range so i called) I see it like this so i guess its clear call ?!
      Board: 9dJh5cAc7c
      Equity Win Tie
      CO 51.43% 51.43% 0.00% { AA, JJ, 99, 55, J9s, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, AcTc, JcTc, Ac9c, Kc9c, Qc9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, Jc8c, Tc8c, 9c8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, AJo, A9o, A5o }
      BU 48.57% 48.57% 0.00% { 5h5s }
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I think villain's range is way more weighted towards flushes and straights than two pairs. I'll just give villain AJ here. Not sure why you gave him so many AcXc, the Ac came out on the Turn :)

      IMO his line is most consistent with JJ though. Is he a typical aggro reg? If so, I think we have to further discount draws from his range cos he would just cbet on the Flop with those hands.

      Board: Jh5c9dAc7c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 36.00% 36.00% 0.00% { 5h5s }
      MP3 64.00% 64.00% 0.00% { AA, JJ, AJs, T8s, KcQc, KcTc, Kc9c, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c6c, AJo }

      River pot odds = 20.6%

      As long as he is capable of showing up with some two pairs this is definitely a call. Anyway I would just call and not feel too unhappy about it. It requires a really strong read to fold a hand as strong as bottom set here.