[NL2-NL10] 33 river call? Nl5

    • BotiaKiraly
      BotiaKiraly
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.03.2009 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 2174394
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $1.02 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 35
      UTG: $2.13 - VPIP: 58, PFR: 38, 3B: 15, AF: 3.1, Hands: 258
      UTG+1: $6.18 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.1, Hands: 1470
      MP1: $2.82 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 11, 3B: 5, AF: 1.5, Hands: 37
      Hero (MP2): $5.00 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 4.1, Hands: 72136
      CO: $7.70 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 11, 3B: 8, AF: 0.3, Hands: 35
      BTN: $1.86 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 0.9, Hands: 119
      SB: $5.90 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 2.1, Hands: 705

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is MP2 with 3 :spade: 3 :club:
      1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.60) T :diamond: 5 :spade: 3 :diamond: (4 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.62 all in, UTG+1 calls $0.75

      Turn: ($3.47) 6 :diamond: (3 players - 1 is all in)
      UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($3.47) 9 :heart: (3 players - 1 is all in)
      UTG+1 bets $2.00, Hero calls $2


      Hi,

      Aggainst this aggro fish is 33 a call here?

      I think his range is much wider than flush: 2pairs, any T and a head, any T and another diamond, maybe JJ, and offcourse flushes and some better sets.

      but allinall I got 57% equity aggainst such range
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,307
      Hey BotiaKiraly,

      I think this is probably a river call here. The texture of the board is such that it blocks a lot of the more likely FD's from villains range. Some of the 2-pair/set combos are unlikely but it's possible villain may show up with some of them like 9T or 56.

      I think you may even be an equity dog vs villains river range but you only need to be good 27% of the time.