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[NL20-NL50] nl 50 aks FR

    • sandraardnas
      Joined: 11.01.2012 Posts: 2,034
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      UTG+1: $60.59 (121.2 bb)
      UTG+2: $50 (100 bb)
      MP1: $50 (100 bb)
      MP2: $59.79 (119.6 bb)
      MP3: $51.95 (103.9 bb)
      CO: $47.54 (95.1 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $51.57 (103.1 bb)
      SB: $52.19 (104.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
      5 folds, CO raises to $1.75, Hero raises to $5.25, 2 folds, CO raises to $8.75, Hero raises to $17.50, CO calls $8.75

      Flop: ($35.75) 9 K 9 (2 players)
      CO bets $26, Hero raises to $34.07 and is all-in, CO calls $4.04 and is all-in

      Turn: ($95.83) 3 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($95.83) 6 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

      $95.83 pot ($2.50 rake)
      Final Board: 9 K 9 3 6
      CO showed 5 5 and lost (-$47.54 net)
      Hero showed A K and won $93.33 ($45.79 net)

      villain is one tabling guy who limped few times and raised 3 hands before, one of them was K9s and he played it passivly 4 way.
      When he 4bets I put him on a AA,KK, sometimes AK, QQ and quite often some fishy stuff like JTs etc. So, I figured I'm ahead and wanted to stack him, knowing that he will at least call my 4bet very often even if he bluffed (because most likely he is a fish).
      What do think? Maybe call would be better?
      Because problem appears when he calls and I miss, do you think in such case I'm too commited and should push most of boards? What flops would you give up then? QJx, QTx?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Sand,

      Preflop: Given we expect the fishy guy to at least call our 5-bet I would make this 5-bet slightly larger at 19-19.5 which will give us a better SPR postflop.

      Postflop: Of course as played we have an easy play.

      But if we miss it all comes down to pot odds and the range we feel villain has. Given your bet size we need roughly ~30% pot odds on the flop. 6 outs is about 24% so add a backdoor flush and we go up roughly another 5%. Add in the fact that he can ship/bet worse and we can't really fold many flops.

      Maybe something like T98 hhd where we don't have much for redraws.