[NL2-NL10] KK , river ?

    • staselu
      staselu
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $14.27 (142.7 bb)
      MP: $4.89 (48.9 bb)
      CO: $8.80 (88 bb)
      BTN: $19.30 (193 bb)
      SB: $17.50 (175 bb)
      BB: $12.90 (129 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.50, SB folds, BB calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.55) 4 6 3 (3 players)
      BB bets $0.77, Hero calls $0.77, BTN calls $0.77

      Turn: ($3.86) 5 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.59, BTN calls $2.59, BB calls $2.59

      River: ($11.63) K (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.10, BTN calls $4.10, BB folds

      BU fish 45/1 wts 37 hands 50

      BB 37/28
      cold call 26
      agg% 33%
      wts 29
      hands 100
      is the value bet on the river OK ?
  • 3 replies
    • Micholin21
      Micholin21
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.05.2012 Posts: 591
      I would check on turn and b/f on the river
    • staselu
      staselu
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      on the turn BB checks, this is a sign that he has some kind of draw, so I bet to charge draws and protect my hand
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Turn is a clear check. You bet only when you have value from a calling range. Don't just assume that people have draws just because they check. He would probably check a set here on the Turn as well when the turn brought a 4th straight card.

      Your decision should be based on whether you can get called by worse hands more than 50% of the time.

      Given the 3way dynamic, I'll just check/fold on the Turn. BTN can still have straights and flushes, I don't think they have too many worse hands, and their weaker pocket pairs are probably folding the Turn if you bet.

      So we cannot bet for value, our hand is too strong to bet as a bluff, so we check.
      When someone bets, we don't beat enough bluffs, and playability is really poor on the river. So we check and fold as opposed to check/call.