[NL2-NL10] NL2 KTo OoP (BB vs CO)

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Known Players:
      UTG3: $2.50 - 125 bb
      MP1: $2.00 - 100 bb
      MP2: $3.24 - 162 bb
      MP3: $0.55 - 28 bb
      CO: $2.28 - 114 bb
      BU: $2.00 - 100 bb
      SB: $2.01 - 101 bb
      BB: $2.00 - 100 bb

      0.01/0.02 No Limit Hold'em (8 Handed)
      Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.411.7

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:spade: , T:club:
      SB posts small blind ($0.01), Hero posts big blind ($0.02), 4 folds, CO raises for $0.06, 2 folds, Hero calls

      Flop: ($0.13 - 6.50 bb) A:spade: , K:diamond: , 9:heart: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.08, Hero calls

      Turn: ($0.29 - 14.50 bb) 4:club: (2 Players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.16, Hero folds, CO gets uncalled back ($0.16)


      If he is on a tight range, I have 55.63% equity on the flop as he will likely cbet his entire range on this flop.

      Board: AsKd9h
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 55.63% 55.03% 0.60% { KsTc }
      MP3 44.37% 43.77% 0.60% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, ATo+ }

      The turn is pretty much a blank, but I folded as I didn't really know how to play this hand.

      My thought process:
      I'm pretty sure that my flop call was correct due to the reason that CO is likely cbetting his entire range on this flop and I am ahead (vs 16.74% range).

      I cannot call a turn bet without a read that he could 2nd barrel as a bluff on a blank or a stat that he bets turns often. Since he is not giving up, it is likely that he has an ace or a better made hand.

      1. Is my thought process correct?
      2. Was it a good call on the flop?
      3. Was it a good fold on the turn?
      4. Are there any other reasons, besides the ones I mentioned, that I could use to call on the turn?

      Thanks in advance for the help.
  • 1 reply
    • kymupa
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364

      Preflop I prefer folding KTo.

      As played, postflop is fine. Your though process is good here, but I don't agree with one thing - if he has a high cbet%, that doesn't necessarily mean that he is going to double barrel as a bluff on this board, so I would always fold here unless we see him double barrel here as a bluff.