This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] J10s

    • kirezafirov
      Joined: 05.04.2010 Posts: 74
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 97.6 BB
      UTG: 86.56 BB (VPIP: 26.77, PFR: 20.87, 3Bet Preflop: 17.50, Hands: 271)
      MP: 167.6 BB (VPIP: 22.60, PFR: 16.41, 3Bet Preflop: 2.91, Hands: 334)
      CO: 108.24 BB (VPIP: 32.65, PFR: 24.49, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 49)
      BTN: 53 BB (VPIP: 53.57, PFR: 3.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
      SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:heart: T:heart:

      UTG calls 1 BB, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, UTG calls 2 BB

      Flop: (9.4 BB, 3 players) 2:heart: 8:club: K:heart:
      Hero checks, UTG bets 5.2 BB, fold, Hero calls 5.2 BB

      Turn: (19.8 BB, 2 players) Q:spade:
      Hero checks, UTG bets 10 BB, Hero raises to 32 BB, UTG raises to 68 BB, Hero raises to 89.4 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 10.36 BB and is all-in

      River: (176.52 BB, 2 players) 5:club:

      Hero shows J:heart: T:heart: (High Card, King) (Pre 54%, Flop 27%, Turn 30%)
      UTG shows 2:spade: 2:club: (Three of a Kind, Twos) (Pre 46%, Flop 73%, Turn 70%)
      UTG wins 167.72 BB

      Villian stats 27/21/18/64
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Kirezafirov,

      Preflop: unless MP is really loose, which he doesn't look to be, we should 3-bet rather than call this OOP.

      Postflop: As played what do you think a regish UTG limp/calls with that plays like this? Why are we raising the turn? Are we expecting him to fold better or call worse?
    • kirezafirov
      Joined: 05.04.2010 Posts: 74
      I have 15 outs on the turn and can profitably go all in.
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,020
      no you can't.
      you're losing about $4-$5 if he always has a strong hand on the turn.

      might be about ok if he actually bet/folds sometimes, which might or might not be a reasonable assumption, his sizing isn't really super strong.
      clearly not super $$$$$$$ printing spot though

      [edit: that said, best play is clearly to flat turn. that'll be undoubtedly +EV just given his betsizing, you are mathematically very well priced in.]