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[NL20-NL50] nl 50 fr AQo

    • sandraardnas
      Joined: 11.01.2012 Posts: 2,034
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP2: $35.81 (71.6 bb)
      MP3: $55.09 (110.2 bb)
      CO: $22.53 (45.1 bb)
      BTN: $44.08 (88.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $20.29 (40.6 bb)
      UTG+2: $20 (40 bb)
      MP1: $17.80 (35.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
      3 folds, MP3 raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $5, BB folds, MP3 calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50) 8 5 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5, MP3 calls $5

      Turn: ($20.50) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $11, MP3 folds

      $20.50 pot ($0.92 rake)
      Final Board: 8 5 2 3
      MP3 mucked and lost (-$10 net)
      Hero mucked Q A and won $19.58 ($9.58 net)

      villain is most likely reg, I had 14 hands on him and was like 14/14 and he was refilling his stack and had blocked tracking.
      I did 3bet to say hello and to get some info about him, and AQ is probably too strong too fold to a single open raise.
      With AQ here I think it can go two ways: he calls hands like QJs, KQo, 89s and I have value or he throws it away so 3bet is profitable right now, I dont expect unknown to 4bet bluff too much.
      On the flop I thought he will muck every broadways without FD, so I think cb is profitable even if he muck mostly worse hands.
      I planned to barrel only on K to get rid of 99-QQ, (if Q or A would turn out I probably would also barrel and hope he would not throw away those hands).
      But 3h came and I picked gutshot so I did bet hoping he'll muck at least 66% of his pocket pairs.
      Do you think its to spazzy? Making some unknown to muck his small overpair to double barrel in 3 bet pot?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I would just check/fold here on the Flop. I think villain's range is pretty weighted towards pocket pairs, and we won't really pick up any great cards on the Turn to continue barreling. Vs a range of AQs/AK/77-QQ, I think we should just give up on the Flop. I would bet if I had the Ah or Qh in my hand though.