[NL20-NL50] NL 20 bluff raise on river

    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      IPoker Network $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $20.30 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 345
      UTG: $21.13 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 4.0, Hands: 22
      MP: $9.55 - VPIP: 53, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 3.6, Hands: 59
      CO: $20.60 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 0.0, Hands: 57
      Hero (BTN): $22.56 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 8, AF: 3.1, Hands: 67918
      SB: $98.70 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 345

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BTN with J :club: 9 :club:
      1 fold, MP calls $0.20, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.80, SB calls $0.70, 2 folds

      Flop: ($2.00) Q :diamond: 7 :diamond: 5 :club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, SB calls $1.20

      Turn: ($4.40) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($4.40) K :spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $2.20, Hero raises to $8.20, SB folds
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Flop and turn are standard. I would not bluff raise the river. Its tough to rep anything. Would u raise ak here?

      I would call with pairs below qx though. Feels like he is on a busted draw cos he probably checks qx again on the King river.
    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      I don't think he had busted draws because he ran of time and folded (it would be a insta fold if busted draw) I believe he had queens. Yeah, I think I would raise with a Kx.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      ok, i suppose if you are raising KX here you can raise sometimes as a bluff. But question is whether raising KX here is overplay or not. I'm not too sure how often the average person donks the River with QX and calls a raise.
    • ezeras
      ezeras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.02.2012 Posts: 181
      Do you think he can have a better hand than Qx often enough? His line and betting size looks weak.

      Would be nice if you could say what range he could donk in your opinion
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      IMO i think it's a busted draw most of the time.

      As mentioned previously, a set should go for a river CR, while a Queen should go for a c/c. That means that he should be weighted towards bluffs here.

      However, I'm not completely ruling out QX from his range. And IMO you don't rep a King well because I think most players are flatting KX here vs the river donkbet, which is why I don't like raising the River too much. Of course if he's weak tight then the raise is fine.