[NL2-NL10] [SH[ NL5: QQ preflop decision

    • Zeffke
      Zeffke
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $5.18 (103.6 bb)
      SB: $7.33 (146.6 bb)
      BB: $4.55 (91 bb)
      UTG: $3.92 (78.4 bb)
      MP: $5.74 (114.8 bb)
      CO: $5 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q Q
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.17, Hero raises to $0.52, 2 folds, CO raises to $1.30, Hero folds

      Villain stats (195 hands):
      VPIP: 15
      PFR: 11
      Steal: 28
      FoldToSteal: 89
      3Bet: 1.4
      FoldTo3Bet: 0 (out of 1)
      4Bet: 0
      Ag.Frequency (total-flop-turn-river): 40-50-33-17
      WTSD: 18


      I know this is BTN vs CO but still. He's so nitty I couldn't pull the trigger. Is it a mistake to fold this? I don't see him capable of 4betting light. So his range is basically KK+. Best case scenario I would include AKs.

      So if I go broke I need to pay $4.48 to win $10 (before rake). Or 44.8% equity.

      Equity
      CO 72.80% KK+, AKs
      BU 27.20% QQ

      That's not even close. Is it better to flatcall with JJ, QQ and AK versus these nits? I'm really struggling with AK, QQ and JJ on these microlimits.
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