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[NL20-NL50] KJo 2nd pair on the turn. River?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $55.76 (111.5 bb)
      Hero (CO): $68.62 (137.2 bb)
      BTN: $25.76 (51.5 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K:club: J:diamond:
      MP folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) 5:diamond: Q:club: 9:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.88, BB calls $1.88

      Turn: ($7.01) J:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($7.01) 5:spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75

      Anon. table. Unknown.

      I think checking the turn and calling a river bet should be fine in these positions, despite the big river bet?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Achilles,

      It does look like we are giving up often and villain is betting large and does polarizing his range.

      So I don't mind our line at all. I think it would be hard to get much value from a second barrel on the turn vs unknown.
    • VasiliZaitsev
      VasiliZaitsev
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.05.2008 Posts: 77
      by polarizing you mean he wouldn't have a Q here ?
      can't see the hands that would bluff on river ... if i was sure he's a fish it's more likely he would bluff, but do you think a reg would have all 87o,AT ... ?
      i can't see many hands without showdown value here that he would turn into bluffs and i also think he could bet a Q with this sizing.

      thanks
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by VasiliZaitsev
      by polarizing you mean he wouldn't have a Q here ?
      can't see the hands that would bluff on river ... if i was sure he's a fish it's more likely he would bluff, but do you think a reg would have all 87o,AT ... ?
      i can't see many hands without showdown value here that he would turn into bluffs and i also think he could bet a Q with this sizing.

      thanks
      Weak Qx like QT type hands and maybe even QK.

      I agree that he may not have a ton of hands that can bluff but given our small bet on the flop villain can float with gutshot+backdoor type hands that can turn into a bluff (as well as hit straights on the turn).

      He may be turning pairs into a bluff (66-88).

      If we look at his value range it's mostly KTs, T8s, QJ, 5x and maybe JJ.