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[NL20-NL50] 22 set vs 3bet river

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 98.58 BB (VPIP: 22.44, PFR: 19.40, 3Bet Preflop: 8.26, Hands: 1,949)
      UTG: 78.48 BB (VPIP: 22.11, PFR: 11.56, 3Bet Preflop: 3.96, Hands: 1,662)
      MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.66, PFR: 20.43, 3Bet Preflop: 7.80, Hands: 3,131)
      CO: 110.74 BB (VPIP: 16.98, PFR: 11.32, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 55)
      BTN: 88.88 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 15.15, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 34)
      Hero (SB): 103.5 BB

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2:heart: 2:diamond:

      fold, MP raises to 3.5 BB, CO calls 3.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold

      Flop: (11.5 BB, 3 players) 9:diamond: Q:heart: 4:spade:
      Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks

      Turn: (11.5 BB, 3 players) 5:club:
      Hero bets 7 BB, MP calls 7 BB, fold

      River: (25.5 BB, 2 players) 2:spade:
      Hero checks, MP bets 12 BB, Hero raises to 41 BB, MP raises to 89.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 48.5 BB

      MP shows Q:spade: K:spade: (One Pair, Queens) (Pre 51%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
      Hero shows 2:heart: 2:diamond: (Three of a Kind, Twos) (Pre 49%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
      Hero wins 198.5 BB

      Is it ok to bet turn? PFR is not betting, and CO could bet if having something.
      Should I bet river on blank?

      When I hit set, I put him on Qx, JJ, TT, and if I bet he calls, but probably he bets his Qx, so I wanted more value. Is that ok to check raise? When he shoves, should I fold? I never fold sets for 100bb, but his line was so strange, looked to me as slowplayed 99, QQ.

      Is there some way to adapt vs him, when he shoves KQ 3way and gives me zero credit? Could I go all in vs him with TPTK, and 2 pairs?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi GingerKid,

      I don't mind betting the turn when both check back but why do we put MP on many Qx hands when he is the PFR and checked back the flop with a nit behind?

      Why would we expect that he checks a hand as strong as KQ?

      I think that the reason he shove was because he undeplayed his hand big time and got too fancy. I wouldn't make any drastic changes yet.