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[NL20-NL50] 88 set overbet river

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,588
      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 210.82 BB (VPIP: 19.68, PFR: 15.96, 3Bet Preflop: 6.95, Hands: 5,404)
      Hero (UTG): 105.7 BB
      MP: 141.98 BB (VPIP: 45.41, PFR: 2.42, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 219)
      CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.49, PFR: 19.36, 3Bet Preflop: 7.74, Hands: 2,941)
      BTN: 322.28 BB (VPIP: 18.70, PFR: 15.51, 3Bet Preflop: 6.59, Hands: 1,293)
      SB: 107.74 BB (VPIP: 21.38, PFR: 17.91, 3Bet Preflop: 7.53, Hands: 3,992)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8:club: 8:spade:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 8:heart: 9:spade: 3:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB

      Turn: (14.5 BB, 2 players) 4:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, BB calls 10 BB

      River: (34.5 BB, 2 players) K:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets 47 BB, BB calls 47 BB

      BB shows T:diamond: 9:diamond: (One Pair, Nines) (Pre 49%, Flop 10%, Turn 0%)
      Hero shows 8:club: 8:spade: (Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 51%, Flop 90%, Turn 100%)
      Hero wins 122.5 BB

      What do you think about overbetting river? K is a scare card, and he is regg and knows that I might use to 3 barrel, so I wanted light calls from PP, and it is still for value.
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      whats his WTS like? how much is his fold to flop and fold to turn CB?

      his stats looks pretty nitty and i dont think such a person would go into deep hand reading and think that you are polarised, he would probably think that you have it and fold his 2nd pair hand.

      if we wanted more value i think we can bet bigger on the flop and turn since the board is drawy and many hands have a piece of it and could call.

      as played i prefer a bet of 28-30 on the river for value against 2nd pair