[NL2-NL10] KQs NL5 FR

    • rHoMyC
      Joined: 01.04.2010 Posts: 142
      Call or raise on river? Only AQ, KK and AA are better hands then mine. For KK and Qx I have blockers, and AA, KK would raise my bet on preflop. That's why i'm raising. I have no notes for opp if he could cald call KK

      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

      Hero (CO): $5.17 (103.4 bb)
      BTN: $4 (80 bb)
      SB: $5.17 (103.4 bb)
      BB: $5.57 (111.4 bb)
      UTG+1: $4.77 (95.4 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.18 (103.6 bb)
      MP1: $1.94 (38.8 bb)
      MP2: $4.93 (98.6 bb)
      MP3: $5.92 (118.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q K
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.15, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.15, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.37) Q K Q (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets $0.15, Hero calls $0.15

      Turn: ($0.67) A (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30

      River: ($1.27) 5 (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets $1.50, Hero raises to $4.57 and is all-in, UTG+2 calls $3.07

      $10.41 pot ($0.43 rake)
      Final Board: Q K Q A 5
      Hero showed Q K and lost (-$5.17 net)
      UTG+2 showed K K and won $9.98 ($4.81 net)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      I would have called the River. His bet size looks really strong here when he bets slightly over pot and I agree that he's rarely going to call worse.

      Better hands
      AA (3 combos)
      KK (1 combo)
      AQ (3 combos)
      7 combos

      In order to justify shoving here, we need villain to call the raise with >7 worse combos. In a FR game I think he's raising QJs/QTs at the very most (but this is being really optimistic already). That's only another 2 combos of QX hands. Maybe he calls the shove with AK? That's 6 more combos. If he calls AK here then we should shove. If not we should flat.

      Worse hands
      QJs/QTs (2 combos)
      AK (3 out of 6 combos) - I don't think he would necessarily call AK here every single time so we need to discount some combos of AK
      5 combos

      Anyway I think shoving here is too thin so just call.