[NL20-NL50] top dual pair, wet board vs fish

    • pokerferrer
      pokerferrer
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.03.2008 Posts: 6,347
      52/7/98h, 2.9AF, fold vs cbet 88 of 9 samples!
      Which options do we have on such nasty turn? I don't think bet/fold is a good idea.
      What if he floats us with 2/3 pot+ bet? Do you think we have to fold?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($26.37)
      BB ($26.82)
      Hero ($33.19)
      CO ($25)
      BTN ($31.77)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: K:club:

      Hero raises to $0.75, fold, BTN calls $0.75, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.85) 6:heart: Q:heart: K:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      TURN ($4.35) 6:heart: Q:heart: K:diamond: J:heart:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      RIVER ($5.35) 6:heart: Q:heart: K:diamond: J:heart: K:heart:

      Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Hi.

      Turn: I would bet fold the Turn. I think this guy will continue calling QT/JT/KT/KJ/AK/AJ on the Turn again so you are missing out on value. Given that he seems passive, I prefer betting when we are ahead of villain's calling range but we are very likely to be crushed vs a raising range. It just makes playing much easier.

      River: I think leading here is a good idea. If villain showed more strength on the Turn (potting the Turn), then there's a higher chance he has a big in his hand and then we should c/r instead.

      Thanks.