This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH]NL50 ATs

    • dannywratten
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      Villain unknown over small sample, but had him marked as a fish. (Must have seen him open limp on another zoom table or smth).

      didn't really like flatting IP because SB was very aggro, & also didn't mind the 3bet since I marked him fishy so I'm assuming he's not super positionally aware & will call worse vs the 3b.

      Can I really fold to the min 4b IP? Hate the spot, esp vs unknown, but I was getting 4.25:1 so I figured if he has a 4b bluffing range I can jam flops with equity.
      Is this just too ambitious vs unknowns?

      OTF I was planning to just shove over his cbet, but I'm only getting it in vs like QQ+ which I have 43% against, so it's not soooo bad I guess.

      On the other hand, I can call flop & shove blank turns if he is bluffing & gives up. If he barrels I would just fold.

      I don't expect him to just barrel off with air in a 4b pot so I don't think I have any fold equity vs a turn bet with a low SPR.
      I also expect his turn betting range to be quite strong.

      Hope that made some sense.

      Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $23.75 (47.5 bb)
      BB: $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      MP: $56.07 (112.1 bb)
      CO: $129.66 (259.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A T
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, MP raises to $7.50, Hero calls $3

      Flop: ($15.75) 5 9 3 (2 players)
      MP bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      Turn: ($30.75) 7 (2 players)
      MP bets $10, Hero calls $10

      River: ($50.75) T (2 players)
      MP bets $10, Hero raises to $25 and is all-in, MP calls $15

      $100.75 pot ($2.50 rake)
      Final Board: 5 9 3 7 T
      Hero showed A T and won $98.25 ($48.25 net)
      MP showed K K and lost (-$50 net)
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      You should just raise the Flop and play for stacks. While we are a slight underdog if we get called, the main profit of the play comes from the fold equity we get when villain folds AK or some other bluffs.

    • dannywratten
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      Thank you :)
      So you're ok with preflop? Not really used to calling 4bets, but seemed ok with position/odds
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Yeah, preflop is a snap call unless he has QQ+. Even vs QQ+ we probably have the right odds to call, though it would be pretty tough to play. I'm sure this guy's range is wider than QQ+/AK.

      He's giving you 20% pot odds.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 70.69% 69.56% 1.13% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
      MP3 29.31% 28.18% 1.13% { ATs }

      So even vs such a tight range we have to call.